Stocks to watch · picked from the news before the open
Stocks That Could Go Up on Friday, October 30, 2026
Mondelez, Chevron, Exxon and 5 more stocks with news that could lift them on a weak tech day
Published 9:19 AM ET · measured from the 9:30 AM open · Stable Income Strategy
What stocks will go up today?
On Friday, October 30, 2026, Mondelez (+6.1% pre-market after a profit beat and wider margins), Chevron and Exxon Mobil (both beat on refining profits) lead our list of stocks likely to rise. BrightSpring, Rivian and WisdomTree also gained on results. The backdrop is weak: Nasdaq-100 futures fell about 2% after Amazon and Intel disappointed.
5 of 8 picks have risen at least to their target from the 9:30 AM open; the best, BrightSpring Health Services (BTSG), gained as much as 8.60% (high at 9:37 AM ET). The S&P 500 ETF rose as much as 0.01% over the same time.
- Stocks picked from the news
- 8
- Reached their target so far
- 5 of 8
- Best rise to the high: BTSG
- +8.60%
- S&P 500 ETF over the same time (to its high)
- +0.01%
01
The list at a glance
Live — updates every minute while the market trades (as of 11:05 AM ET).
| # | Stock | Catalyst | Target | To the high | To the close | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MDLZ Mondelez International | Earnings | +1.5%56% confidence | +1.66%at 9:34 AM | −0.52% | Reached |
| 2 | CVX Chevron | Earnings | +1.2%55% confidence | +1.06%at 10:21 AM | +0.67% | Not yet |
| 3 | XOM Exxon Mobil | Earnings | +1.2%54% confidence | +0.76%at 9:59 AM | −0.97% | Not yet |
| 4 | BTSG BrightSpring Health Services | Earnings | +2.5%54% confidence | +8.60%at 9:37 AM | +2.92% | Reached |
| 5 | RIVN Rivian Automotive | Earnings | +3%50% confidence | +1.49%at 10:07 AM | +0.08% | Not yet |
| 6 | WT WisdomTree | Earnings | +2%46% confidence | +6.70%at 10:59 AM | +6.10% | Reached |
| 7 | INCY Incyte | Upgrade | +1.5%48% confidence | +2.31%at 9:36 AM | +1.45% | Reached |
| 8 | GEV GE Vernova | Upgrade | +2%45% confidence | +4.24%at 9:54 AM | +1.65% | Reached |
Target: the expected rise from the open to the day’s high; confidence: the chance we gave it of getting there. “To the high” and “to the close” are counted from the 9:30 AM opening price.
02
The same morning, picked by the data
No news read: S&P 500 stocks matching setups tested on ten years of gap days, pre-market to 8:55 AM ET.
Picked by rules, not news: the setups were tested on every S&P 500 stock that opened 2% or more from the day before since 2016, and are read from pre-market prices at 8:55 AM ET. The S&P 500 ETF was −1.02% at 8:55 AM ET. On mornings like this (118 since 2016), the stocks down the most closed above their opening price 52% of the time and gained +0.13% a day in 2016–2022 and +0.66% in 2023–2026 after costs — too few days to be sure.
5 of 10 are above their opening price; on average +0.00% from the open so far (S&P 500 ETF: −0.32%).
| # | Stock | Setup | At 8:55 AM | To the high | To the close | +1%? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | INTC Intel | Market-down rebound | −25.60% | +0.60%at 9:30 AM | −3.15% | Not yet |
| 2 | RDDT Reddit | Market-down rebound | −22.76% | +1.88%at 9:30 AM | −5.54% | Reached |
| 3 | TWLO Twilio | Market-down rebound | −20.16% | +9.59%at 10:41 AM | +7.34% | Reached |
| 4 | ILMN Illumina, Inc. | Market-down rebound | −13.81% | +0.87%at 9:31 AM | −4.66% | Not yet |
| 5 | HPQ HP Inc. | Market-down rebound | −12.03% | +8.50%at 10:48 AM | +7.16% | Reached |
| 6 | DELL Dell Technologies | Market-down rebound | −11.95% | +5.26%at 9:39 AM | +2.79% | Reached |
| 7 | AMD Advanced Micro Devices | Market-down rebound | −9.61% | +2.34%at 9:39 AM | +0.78% | Reached |
| 8 | BE Bloom Energy | Market-down rebound | −9.30% | +5.89%at 9:54 AM | +1.01% | Reached |
| 9 | SNDK Sandisk | Market-down rebound | −9.17% | +1.97%at 9:38 AM | −1.76% | Reached |
| 10 | COHR Coherent Corp. | Market-down rebound | −8.59% | +2.52%at 9:38 AM | −3.93% | Reached |
Market-down rebound
The S&P 500 ETF at least 1% down before the open: the stocks down the most (not on an earnings miss).
On S&P 500 gap days since 2016 (1,156 picks on 118 days): closed above the open 52% of the time, rose at least 1% above it 77% and 2% 56%; held from the open to the close, +0.13% a day in 2016–2022 and +0.66% in 2023–2026 after costs.
03
Why each stock could go up
Early Friday Nasdaq-100 futures were down 2.2% and S&P 500 futures down 1.0% with Dow futures flat, after Amazon (-6.5%) and Intel (-25%) disappointed and a record $6.36 billion Binance theft hit crypto stocks. That tape favors energy, staples and health care beats over high-beta names such as Rivian.
- 1
Mondelez International (MDLZ)
Consumer staples · +6.1% pre-market
+1.5% target
56% confidence
EarningsMondelez beats Q3 profit estimate as gross margin widens 380 basis points — Investing.com
Third-quarter adjusted EPS of $0.78 beat the $0.71 estimate and gross margin rose 380 basis points to 34.2%, while the 2026 outlook, including about $3 billion of free cash flow, was kept. Staples are a natural home for money leaving tech on a morning when Nasdaq futures are down about 2%, which should help the gain hold and extend after the open.
Risk: With the yearly outlook only kept, not raised, a 6% gap may draw early profit-taking.
From $64.78 at 9:30 AM:high +1.66% at 9:34 AMclose −0.52%day +3.07% Reached +1.5% - 2
Chevron (CVX)
Energy · +1% to +2.2% pre-market
+1.2% target
55% confidence
EarningsChevron Q3 adjusted EPS of $5.28 tops $4.88 estimate as refining profits jump — Yahoo Finance
Adjusted EPS of $5.28 beat the $4.88 estimate by about 8%, and revenue of $67.8 billion, up 36%, topped the $60.55 billion consensus on strong refining margins. Energy is one of the few groups with good news on a risk-off morning, and a beat this size usually draws buyers after the open.
Risk: A drop in oil prices or a deeper broad sell-off could pull energy shares down with the market.
From $234.01 at 9:30 AM:high +1.06% at 10:21 AMclose +0.67%day +1.78%Not yet - 3
Exxon Mobil (XOM)
Energy · +1.9% pre-market
+1.2% target
54% confidence
EarningsExxonMobil tops Q3 estimates, raises dividend to $1.07 and sets $20 billion buyback — AP
Adjusted EPS of $4.23 beat the roughly $4.12 estimate, revenue rose 33% to $113.16 billion, and Exxon raised its quarterly dividend to $1.07 with a $20 billion buyback plan. With Dow futures steady while tech sells off, the largest US energy stock is well placed to draw rotation money.
Risk: The beat is smaller than Chevron's (about 3%), so the gain could stall if oil weakens.
From $187.08 at 9:30 AM:high +0.76% at 9:59 AMclose −0.97%day +1.08%Not yet - 4
BrightSpring Health Services (BTSG)
Health care · +6.7% pre-market
+2.5% target
54% confidence
EarningsBrightSpring beats Q3 estimates and raises 2026 revenue guidance above consensus — Investing.com
Adjusted EPS of $0.54 compared with a $0.20 consensus, revenue rose 26.4% to $4.21 billion, and 2026 revenue guidance moved to $15.9–16.12 billion against a $15.36 billion consensus. A beat with raised guidance is the strongest same-day setup, and health care services are insulated from the tech sell-off.
Risk: A mid-cap up about 7% before the open can give back part of the gap if the market slides further.
From $65.49 at 9:30 AM:high +8.60% at 9:37 AMclose +2.92%day +11.92% Reached +2.5% - 5
Rivian Automotive (RIVN)
Consumer discretionary · +7.2% pre-market
+3% target
50% confidence
EarningsRivian beats Q3 revenue and loss estimates and raises 2026 delivery forecast; Jefferies upgrades to Buy — Investing.com
Revenue rose 38% to $2.16 billion against about $2.0 billion expected, the adjusted loss of $0.48 a share was narrower than the $0.61–0.64 forecast, and Rivian raised its 2026 delivery outlook to 67,000–70,000 vehicles. Jefferies also upgraded the stock to Buy with a $17 target, which adds fresh demand at the open.
Risk: Rivian is a high-beta stock, and a 2% drop in Nasdaq futures could pull it back toward the prior close.
From $12.09 at 9:30 AM:high +1.49% at 10:07 AMclose +0.08%day +5.68%Not yet - 6
WisdomTree (WT)
Financials · +11.6% pre-market
+2% target
46% confidence
EarningsWisdomTree reports record $171 billion in assets and $4.6 billion of Q3 inflows; EPS beats — Investing.com
Record assets under management of $171.0 billion, $4.6 billion of quarterly net inflows and a 13% annualized organic growth rate this year point to rising fee income, and adjusted EPS of $0.32 beat the $0.30 consensus. Revenue of $179.4 million, up 42.8%, was only slightly below the $180.7 million estimate.
Risk: Up more than 10% before the open, the stock is a fade candidate, and the small revenue miss gives sellers a reason.
From $20.00 at 9:30 AM:high +6.70% at 10:59 AMclose +6.10%day −1.53% Reached +2% - 7
Incyte (INCY)
Health care · No pre-market move reported
+1.5% target
48% confidence
UpgradeOppenheimer upgrades Incyte to Outperform, target raised to $144 from $120 — 24/7 Wall St.
Oppenheimer moved Incyte to Outperform from Perform and raised its target 20% to $144 from $120. Health care tends to hold up when money leaves tech, which gives the upgrade a better chance to show in the price today.
Risk: Without an earnings surprise or confirmed pre-market buying, the upgrade alone may fade by midday.
From $120.10 at 9:30 AM:high +2.31% at 9:36 AMclose +1.45%day +4.32% Reached +1.5% - 8
GE Vernova (GEV)
Industrials · No pre-market move reported
+2% target
45% confidence
UpgradeHSBC upgrades GE Vernova to Buy, target raised to $1,100 — 24/7 Wall St.
HSBC raised GE Vernova to Buy from Hold and lifted its target to $1,100 from $1,040. A Buy call from a major bank on a large-cap industrial often brings buyers in the first hour of trading.
Risk: GE Vernova trades with the AI-infrastructure group, which could be sold with tech after Amazon's and Intel's reports.
From $850.00 at 9:30 AM:high +4.24% at 9:54 AMclose +1.65%day −2.68% Reached +2%
04
Questions
What stocks will go up today?
For Friday, October 30, 2026, the stocks we rate most likely to rise from the open are Mondelez (+6.1% pre-market after a profit beat), Chevron and Exxon Mobil (both beat on refining profits), BrightSpring Health (beat and raised guidance), Rivian (beat, raised delivery forecast, Jefferies upgrade) and WisdomTree (record assets). The backdrop is weak, with Nasdaq-100 futures down about 2%, so gains are not assured.
Which stocks are moving on earnings today?
Gainers before the bell on Friday, October 30, 2026 include Mondelez (+6.1%), Rivian (+7.2%), BrightSpring Health (+6.7%), WisdomTree (+11.6%), Exxon Mobil (+1.9%) and Chevron (+1% to +2%). Decliners include Intel (-25% after weak December-quarter guidance), Reddit (-23%), Roblox (-19%), Twilio (-17.5%) and Amazon (-6.5% after a holiday-quarter sales forecast below expectations).
What stocks got upgraded today?
Notable upgrades on Friday, October 30, 2026: Jefferies raised Rivian to Buy ($17 target), HSBC raised GE Vernova to Buy ($1,100 target), Oppenheimer raised Incyte to Outperform ($144 target, from $120), Wedbush raised DoorDash to Outperform ($230 target) and KGI Securities raised Intel to Outperform ($95 target) even as Intel fell about 26% before the open.
Why is Mondelez stock up today?
Mondelez rose about 6% before the open on Friday, October 30, 2026 after third-quarter adjusted earnings of $0.78 a share beat the $0.71 estimate and gross margin widened 380 basis points to 34.2%. The company kept its 2026 outlook, including about $3 billion of free cash flow. Staples also tend to benefit when investors move out of tech, as they did this morning.
Why are stock futures down this morning?
Early on Friday, October 30, 2026, Nasdaq-100 futures were down about 2.2% and S&P 500 futures about 1%, while Dow futures were flat. Amazon fell about 6.5% before the bell on a holiday-quarter sales forecast below expectations, Intel about 25% on weak guidance, and crypto stocks about 5% after a record $6.36 billion theft at Binance.
05
Sources
- Premarket movers: Intel, Amazon drop; Crypto stocks slide after Binance theft — Investing.com
- ExxonMobil and Chevron top Q3 estimates on higher prices and strong output — AP (ABC News)
- Earnings live updates: Exxon, Chevron refining margins jump, lifting earnings — Yahoo Finance
- Buy, Sell, or Hold? Today's Top Upgrades and Downgrades: Boston Scientific, DoorDash, GE Vernova, Honeywell Aerospace, Incyte, Intel, Reddit, Rivian Automotive, and More — 24/7 Wall St.
- WisdomTree stock soars 11% on third quarter earnings beat — Investing.com
- BrightSpring Health stock soars 7% on strong earnings beat — Investing.com
- Seven Stocks Advance in Premarket Trade as U.S. Futures Fall — TokenPost
06
How the stocks are picked and scored
- Every trading day at 9:00 AM ET, before the 9:30 AM open, we read last night’s and the morning’s company news — earnings and guidance, analyst upgrades, deals and contracts, product and regulatory news, index changes — and pick the 6–10 liquid US stocks most likely to rise that day.
- Each pick gets a target (the expected rise from the open to the day’s high) and a confidence (the chance of getting there), and we weigh the size of the surprise, the pre-market move and the market’s mood. Stocks under $5, thinly traded ones, and targets of cash takeovers are left out.
- Each list is measured from the moment it could be acted on: the 9:30 AM opening price, or the minute it went public if that was later. “To the high” is the rise from there to the session’s highest price; “to the close”, to the closing price. A pick reaches its target when its rise to the high is at least the target.
- Beside it, a second list picked only by the data: at 8:55 AM ET a screen reads every S&P 500 stock’s pre-market price and lists those matching setups tested on every gap day since 2016, with what each setup did then. It reads no news and stays empty when nothing matches; both lists are scored the same way so their records can be compared.
- The S&P 500 ETF (SPY) over the same minutes is shown as the bar to beat. Results are live while the market trades and final after the close; every past list stays online with its results.
Not investment advice
These are forecasts made from public news and prices, published for education and to keep an honest record of how such calls turn out. They are not recommendations to buy or sell anything, and a call that worked before can fail the next day. Decide with your own judgment, or with a licensed adviser.