Stocks to watch · picked from the news before the open
Stocks That Could Go Up on Thursday, November 5, 2026
e.l.f. Beauty, AppLovin, Edwards and 5 more stocks with earnings news that could lift them today
Published 9:18 AM ET · measured from the 9:30 AM open · Stable Income Strategy
What stocks will go up today?
e.l.f. Beauty (ELF), AppLovin (APP) and Edwards Lifesciences (EW) lead today's list: all three beat quarterly forecasts and lifted their outlooks, and trade 4% to 22% higher before the open. The backdrop is mixed: Dow futures are up 0.5% to 0.7% after Wednesday's post-election rally, while Nasdaq-100 futures are down about 0.7% on Qualcomm's drop.
6 of 8 picks have risen at least to their target from the 9:30 AM open; the best, e.l.f. Beauty (ELF), gained as much as 8.01% (high at 9:30 AM ET). The S&P 500 ETF rose as much as 0.07% over the same time.
- Stocks picked from the news
- 8
- Reached their target so far
- 6 of 8
- Best rise to the high: ELF
- +8.01%
- S&P 500 ETF over the same time (to its high)
- +0.07%
01
The list at a glance
Live — updates every minute while the market trades (as of 10:59 AM ET).
| # | Stock | Catalyst | Target | To the high | To the close | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ELF e.l.f. Beauty | Earnings | +2.5%60% confidence | +8.01%at 9:30 AM | −1.45% | Reached |
| 2 | APP AppLovin | Earnings | +3%56% confidence | +4.40%at 9:54 AM | +1.22% | Reached |
| 3 | EW Edwards Lifesciences | Guidance | +1.5%56% confidence | +3.47%at 9:59 AM | +1.18% | Reached |
| 4 | U Unity Software | Earnings | +3%54% confidence | +1.05%at 9:30 AM | −3.73% | Not yet |
| 5 | EPAM EPAM Systems | Buyback | +2.5%52% confidence | +4.35%at 9:56 AM | +3.48% | Reached |
| 6 | PTON Peloton Interactive | Earnings | +2.5%51% confidence | 0.00%at 9:30 AM | −7.64% | Not yet |
| 7 | SHAK Shake Shack | Earnings | +2%51% confidence | +2.63%at 9:30 AM | −5.45% | Reached |
| 8 | PLNT Planet Fitness | Earnings | +1.5%50% confidence | +3.05%at 9:31 AM | +1.57% | Reached |
Target: the expected rise from the open to the day’s high; confidence: the chance we gave it of getting there. “To the high” and “to the close” are counted from the 9:30 AM opening price.
02
The same morning, picked by the data
No news read: S&P 500 stocks matching setups tested on ten years of gap days, pre-market to 8:55 AM ET.
Picked by rules, not news: the setups were tested on every S&P 500 stock that opened 2% or more from the day before since 2016, and are read from pre-market prices at 8:55 AM ET. These stocks fell 2–6% before the open, at least 1.5 points more than the market, after a down day and without earnings news. The S&P 500 ETF was +0.05% at 8:55 AM ET. Since 2016 such stocks closed above their opening price 53% of the time and rose at least 1% above it 72% of the time; held from the open to the close they about broke even after costs (−0.04% a day in 2016–2022, 0.00% in 2023–2026).
0 of 8 are above their opening price; on average −9.20% from the open so far (S&P 500 ETF: −2.99%).
| # | Stock | Setup | At 8:55 AM | To the high | To the close | +1%? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VRT Vertiv | Rebound | −3.87% | +0.10%at 9:30 AM | −11.31% | Not yet |
| 2 | VST Vistra Corp. | Rebound | −2.83% | +1.76%at 9:33 AM | −3.90% | Reached |
| 3 | FLEX Flex Ltd. | Rebound | −3.95% | +0.45%at 9:33 AM | −10.39% | Not yet |
| 4 | PWR Quanta Services | Rebound | −2.83% | +0.57%at 9:30 AM | −7.94% | Not yet |
| 5 | CIEN Ciena | Rebound | −4.93% | 0.00%at 9:30 AM | −11.02% | Not yet |
| 6 | DELL Dell Technologies | Rebound | −4.76% | +0.77%at 9:33 AM | −8.08% | Not yet |
| 7 | STX Seagate Technology | Rebound | −5.31% | +0.26%at 9:30 AM | −9.59% | Not yet |
| 8 | LITE Lumentum | Rebound | −5.07% | +0.42%at 9:30 AM | −11.34% | Not yet |
Rebound
Down 2–6% before the open, at least 1.5 points more than the S&P 500 ETF, after a down day, no earnings.
On S&P 500 gap days since 2016 (3,150 picks on 1,223 days): closed above the open 53% of the time, rose at least 1% above it 72% and 2% 50%; held from the open to the close, −0.04% a day in 2016–2022 and 0.00% in 2023–2026 after costs.
03
Why each stock could go up
Stock futures are mixed after Wednesday's post-election rally lifted the Dow 1,569 points (about 3%): Dow futures are up 0.5% to 0.7% and S&P 500 futures are little changed, while Nasdaq-100 futures are down 0.7% to 0.8% as Qualcomm (-9%) and Arm weigh on chips and South Korea's Kospi fell 5.3% overnight. That favors company-specific earnings winners outside semiconductors, though a weak Nasdaq open is the main risk for AppLovin and Unity.
- 1
e.l.f. Beauty (ELF)
Consumer staples · +5% pre-market
+2.5% target
60% confidence
Earningse.l.f. Beauty Announces Second Quarter Fiscal 2027 Results — e.l.f. Beauty
Fiscal second-quarter net sales rose 51% to $520.8 million against about $470 million expected, and adjusted EPS of $1.21 roughly doubled the $0.60 forecast. The company raised its fiscal 2027 outlook to 22–24% sales growth from 18–20% and adjusted EPS to $3.82–$3.86 from $3.50–$3.55; a beat-and-raise with only a 5% pre-market gap leaves room for buyers after the open.
Risk: Holders may take profits after a big quarter if the broader open is weak.
From $114.00 at 9:30 AM:high +8.01% at 9:30 AMclose −1.45%day −1.13% Reached +2.5% - 2
AppLovin (APP)
Information technology · +19% to +22% pre-market
+3% target
56% confidence
EarningsAppLovin third-quarter 2026 results: revenue up 55% to $2.185 billion, buyback authorization raised by $3.2 billion — AppLovin
Third-quarter revenue rose 55% to $2.185 billion against about $2.07 billion expected, and adjusted EBITDA of $1.842 billion (84% margin) topped the $1.73 billion estimate. Fourth-quarter revenue guidance of $2.365–$2.395 billion implies about 9% growth from the third quarter, and the board added $3.2 billion to the buyback, taking the authorization to $3.6 billion.
Risk: Already up about 20% before the open in a weak Nasdaq tape, the stock may give part of the gap back before making a new high.
From $349.94 at 9:30 AM:high +4.40% at 9:54 AMclose +1.22%day +30.34% Reached +3% - 3
Edwards Lifesciences (EW)
Health care · +3.7% pre-market after a 4.4% gain on Wednesday
+1.5% target
56% confidence
GuidanceEdwards Lifesciences reports third-quarter 2026 results, raises full-year sales, TAVR and EPS guidance — Edwards Lifesciences
Third-quarter sales rose 10.5% to $1.72 billion, with TAVR heart-valve sales up 8% to $1.24 billion and adjusted EPS up 19% to $0.80. Edwards raised 2026 sales growth guidance to about 11.5% from 10–11%, TAVR growth to 9–9.5% from 8–9% and adjusted EPS to $2.97–$3.05; a health care name with a raised outlook should hold up better than chip stocks on a weak Nasdaq morning.
Risk: After a 4.4% rise on Wednesday and a 3.7% pre-market gain, some of the beat may already be priced in.
From $100.67 at 9:30 AM:high +3.47% at 9:59 AMclose +1.18%day +2.50% Reached +1.5% - 4
Unity Software (U)
Information technology · +22% pre-market
+3% target
54% confidence
EarningsUnity third-quarter 2026 revenue rises 32% to $622 million; fourth-quarter strategic revenue guidance $683–$691 million — Unity Software
Third-quarter revenue rose 32% to $622 million against about $566 million expected, with adjusted EBITDA of $257 million (41% margin) and free cash flow of $220 million. Fourth-quarter strategic revenue guidance of $683–$691 million is far above the $601.3 million analysts expected, and adjusted EBITDA guidance of $290–$295 million is up 132–136% from a year earlier.
Risk: A 22% gap on a weak morning for tech raises the odds of an early fade before any new high.
From $48.06 at 9:30 AM:high +1.05% at 9:30 AMclose −3.73%day +8.96%Not yet - 5
EPAM Systems (EPAM)
Information technology · +13.6% pre-market
+2.5% target
52% confidence
BuybackEPAM reports third-quarter 2026 results, adds $1.5 billion to its buyback and plans a $500 million accelerated repurchase — EPAM Systems
Third-quarter adjusted EPS of $3.51 beat the $3.40 estimate on revenue of $1.426 billion, and EPAM raised full-year adjusted EPS guidance to $13.23–$13.31. The board added $1.5 billion to the buyback ($1.8 billion available through 2029) and plans a $500 million accelerated repurchase in the week of November 9, which adds steady demand for the shares.
Risk: Revenue grew only 2.3%, so a 14% gap that rests mostly on buybacks could fade.
From $156.20 at 9:30 AM:high +4.35% at 9:56 AMclose +3.48%day +17.67% Reached +2.5% - 6
Peloton Interactive (PTON)
Consumer discretionary · +7% pre-market
+2.5% target
51% confidence
EarningsPremarket movers: Qualcomm, Snap slide premarket; Unity surges — Investing.com
Fiscal first-quarter revenue of $559.2 million beat the $554.6 million estimate and free cash flow reached $143 million. Adjusted EPS of $0.19 reads as a beat or a miss depending on the estimate used ($0.11 or $0.21), so revenue and cash flow are the cleaner positives, and the stock's wide daily swings make a 2.5% rise from the open reachable.
Risk: Mixed EPS readings and a 7% gap can fade quickly once regular trading starts.
From $5.98 at 9:30 AM:high 0.00% at 9:30 AMclose −7.64%day +1.16%Not yet - 7
Shake Shack (SHAK)
Consumer discretionary · +3.8% pre-market
+2% target
51% confidence
EarningsStocks making the biggest moves premarket: Shake Shack, Wendy's, Peloton, Unity Software & more — CNBC
Third-quarter adjusted EPS of $0.40 beat the $0.35 estimate, while revenue of $423 million was just under the $426 million consensus. The company reaffirmed 2026 revenue guidance of $1.6–$1.7 billion, a steadier read than restaurant peers Cava (down about 8% pre-market) and Dutch Bros (down about 13%).
Risk: Weak results across restaurant chains could pull the group lower after the open.
From $74.54 at 9:30 AM:high +2.63% at 9:30 AMclose −5.45%day −3.21% Reached +2% - 8
Planet Fitness (PLNT)
Consumer discretionary · +1.2% pre-market
+1.5% target
50% confidence
EarningsPremarket movers: Qualcomm, Snap slide premarket; Unity surges — Investing.com
Third-quarter adjusted EPS of $0.83 beat the $0.80 estimate and revenue of $360 million topped the $347.7 million consensus by about 3.5%, with adjusted EBITDA up 3.9% to $146.2 million. A small 1.2% pre-market gain leaves room for buyers and little to give back.
Risk: The reports read show no guidance raise, which may keep the move small.
From $58.03 at 9:30 AM:high +3.05% at 9:31 AMclose +1.57%day +2.79% Reached +1.5%
04
Questions
What stocks will go up today?
Our news-based list for Thursday, November 5, 2026 is led by e.l.f. Beauty (ELF), which beat forecasts and raised its fiscal 2027 outlook, AppLovin (APP), up about 20% before the open after 55% revenue growth and a $3.2 billion buyback increase, and Edwards Lifesciences (EW), which raised its 2026 guidance. Unity Software, EPAM Systems, Peloton, Shake Shack and Planet Fitness complete the list. Each is a forecast of the rise from the 9:30 AM open, not a certainty.
Which stocks are moving on earnings today?
Before the bell on November 5, 2026, AppLovin and Unity Software were up about 20% and 22%, EPAM Systems about 14%, Peloton about 7% and e.l.f. Beauty about 5% after quarterly results. On the downside, Qualcomm fell about 9% on weak handset chip sales, Snap about 10% on a revenue and user miss, Zillow about 15%, HubSpot about 9% and Dutch Bros about 13% after trimming its profit outlook.
Why is AppLovin stock up today?
AppLovin (APP) traded about 19% to 22% higher before the open on November 5, 2026 after third-quarter revenue rose 55% to $2.185 billion and adjusted EBITDA reached $1.842 billion, both above estimates. It guided fourth-quarter revenue to $2.365–$2.395 billion, about 9% above the third quarter, and added $3.2 billion to its buyback. The main risk is that a gap this large fades in a weak Nasdaq.
Why is e.l.f. Beauty stock up today?
e.l.f. Beauty (ELF) rose about 5% before the open on November 5, 2026 after fiscal second-quarter net sales jumped 51% to $520.8 million, against about $470 million expected, and adjusted EPS of $1.21 roughly doubled the $0.60 forecast. The company raised its fiscal 2027 outlook to 22–24% sales growth from 18–20% and adjusted EPS to $3.82–$3.86 from $3.50–$3.55.
Why is the Nasdaq down this morning?
Nasdaq-100 futures were down about 0.7% to 0.8% before the open on November 5, 2026, led by chip stocks: Qualcomm fell about 9% after handset chip sales missed and its December-quarter profit guidance midpoint came in just below forecasts, Arm slipped about 4% to 5%, and South Korea's Kospi dropped 5.3% overnight on tighter US data-center rules. Dow futures were up 0.5% to 0.7% after Wednesday's post-election rally.
05
Sources
- Stocks making the biggest moves premarket: Shake Shack, Wendy's, Peloton, Unity Software & more — CNBC
- Premarket movers: Qualcomm, Snap slide premarket; Unity surges — Investing.com
- 5 Things Investors Need to Know About Thursday's Markets — AOL
- Morning Brief Nov 5, 2026: APP Jumps, QCOM Falls on Guide — Current Logic
- e.l.f. Beauty Announces Second Quarter Fiscal 2027 Results — e.l.f. Beauty
- AppLovin third-quarter 2026 earnings release (Form 8-K, Exhibit 99.1) — SEC
- Edwards Lifesciences third-quarter 2026 earnings release (Form 8-K, Exhibit 99.1) — SEC
- Unity Software third-quarter 2026 earnings release (Form 8-K, Exhibit 99.1) — SEC
- EPAM Systems third-quarter 2026 earnings release (Form 8-K, Exhibit 99) — SEC
06
How the stocks are picked and scored
- Every trading day at 9:00 AM ET, before the 9:30 AM open, we read last night’s and the morning’s company news — earnings and guidance, analyst upgrades, deals and contracts, product and regulatory news, index changes — and pick the 6–10 liquid US stocks most likely to rise that day.
- Each pick gets a target (the expected rise from the open to the day’s high) and a confidence (the chance of getting there), and we weigh the size of the surprise, the pre-market move and the market’s mood. Stocks under $5, thinly traded ones, and targets of cash takeovers are left out.
- Each list is measured from the moment it could be acted on: the 9:30 AM opening price, or the minute it went public if that was later. “To the high” is the rise from there to the session’s highest price; “to the close”, to the closing price. A pick reaches its target when its rise to the high is at least the target.
- Beside it, a second list picked only by the data: at 8:55 AM ET a screen reads every S&P 500 stock’s pre-market price and lists those matching setups tested on every gap day since 2016, with what each setup did then. It reads no news and stays empty when nothing matches; both lists are scored the same way so their records can be compared.
- The S&P 500 ETF (SPY) over the same minutes is shown as the bar to beat. Results are live while the market trades and final after the close; every past list stays online with its results.
Not investment advice
These are forecasts made from public news and prices, published for education and to keep an honest record of how such calls turn out. They are not recommendations to buy or sell anything, and a call that worked before can fail the next day. Decide with your own judgment, or with a licensed adviser.