Stocks That Could Go Up on Thursday, October 22, 2026

Target: the expected rise from the open to the day’s high; confidence: the chance we gave it of getting there. “To the high” and “to the close” are counted from the 9:30 AM opening price.

1. 1

   Lockheed Martin (LMT)

   Industrials (aerospace and defense) · +1% pre-market to $557.02 (other reports up to 3%)

   ▲ +1.5% target

   57% confidence

   EarningsLockheed Martin beats Q3 estimates, raises 2026 EPS and free cash flow outlook, record $292 billion backlog — MoneyCheck

   Third-quarter EPS of $7.97 beat the $7.52 estimate and sales rose 11% to $20.7 billion against $20.5 billion expected. Lockheed raised 2026 EPS guidance to $30.35–$30.75 from $29.95–$30.65 and free cash flow guidance to $7.8–$8.0 billion from $7.0–$7.2 billion, its second raise in a row, and backlog hit a record $292.0 billion including a $52.5 billion PAC-3 award. Defense stocks also tend to hold up when geopolitical fears hit the market.

   Risk: A 1% drop in S&P 500 futures could drag even defensive names below the open.

   From $579.51 at 9:30 AM:high +4.92% at 9:39 AMclose +1.79%day +6.96%✓ Reached +1.5%
2. 2

   Allegion (ALLE)

   Industrials (security products) · +5.4% pre-market to $167.61 from a $159.00 close

   ▲ +1.5% target

   55% confidence

   EarningsAllegion tops Q3 2026 estimates and raises its full-year outlook; shares jump pre-market — Investing.com

   Adjusted EPS of $2.60 beat the $2.50 consensus and revenue of $1.17 billion beat $1.14 billion, up 9.6% reported and 7.2% organic, led by Americas non-residential demand. The company raised 2026 adjusted EPS guidance to $9.05–$9.10 and now expects reported revenue growth of 9.5%–10.5%. A beat with raised guidance is the strongest same-day driver, so we estimate buyers keep coming after the open.

   Risk: After a 5% gap, profit-taking in a falling market could cap the stock near its opening price.

   From $170.00 at 9:30 AM:high +4.08% at 3:55 PMclose +3.84%day +11.02%✓ Reached +1.5%
3. 3

   Spotify Technology (SPOT)

   Communication services · +5% pre-market

   ▲ +2% target

   52% confidence

   GuidanceSpotify gains on fourth-quarter revenue guidance above analyst expectations; monthly users up 11% to 788 million — CNBC

   Spotify guided fourth-quarter revenue to €5.2 billion, operating income to €820 million and gross margin to 33.8%, with monthly users rising to 818 million and subscribers to 316 million, a step up from third-quarter revenue of €4.97 billion and operating income of €672 million. Third-quarter users rose 11% to 788 million and subscribers reached 306 million, one million above guidance. Guidance above estimates resets forecasts higher, which tends to keep buyers in through the day.

   Risk: Nasdaq futures down 1.6% on a chip sell-off could pull growth stocks lower and erase part of the gap.

   From $561.29 at 9:30 AM:high +4.92% at 9:33 AMclose +3.99%day +11.10%✓ Reached +2%
4. 4

   Occidental Petroleum (OXY)

   Energy · Energy stocks higher pre-market as oil climbs; no OXY-specific figure confirmed

   ▲ +1.5% target

   50% confidence

   SectorEnergy stocks rise as oil prices climb on renewed geopolitical fears — CNBC

   Oil climbed overnight on renewed geopolitical fears and energy stocks rose broadly before the bell. Occidental is one of the large U.S. producers most sensitive to crude, so it tends to move more than the integrated majors when oil jumps. Energy is also one of the few groups likely to rise on a day when S&P 500 futures are down about 1%.

   Risk: If the geopolitical worry eases during the day, oil and producer stocks could give back the move quickly.

   From $63.40 at 9:30 AM:high +0.25% at 9:30 AMclose −1.42%day −0.32%✗ Missed +1.5%
5. 5

   APA Corporation (APA)

   Energy · Energy stocks higher pre-market as oil climbs; no APA-specific figure confirmed

   ▲ +2% target

   48% confidence

   SectorEnergy stocks rise as oil prices climb on renewed geopolitical fears — CNBC

   APA is a smaller, higher-beta oil and gas producer, so a jump in crude on geopolitical fears usually lifts it more than the sector in percentage terms. Energy stocks rose broadly before the bell while the rest of the market sold off. We estimate a 2% rise from the open is reachable if crude holds its gains.

   Risk: A reversal in oil would hit high-beta producers like APA hardest.

   From $49.88 at 9:30 AM:high +0.48% at 9:30 AMclose −0.88%day −0.38%✗ Missed +2%
6. 6

   Aevex (AVEX)

   Industrials (defense drones) · +11% pre-market

   ▲ +3% target

   45% confidence

   ContractAevex disputes Bloomberg report that the Navy would stop buying its GARC boat drone, says no orders have been halted — CNBC

   Aevex rose more than 11% before the bell after the company said no Navy orders for its GARC drone boat had been halted, pushing back on a Bloomberg report. GARC is built by BlackSea Technologies, which Aevex agreed in August to buy for up to $650 million, so the Navy program matters to the deal. Recently listed stocks that rebound on a denial tend to swing widely, which raises the chance of a 3% high above the open.

   Risk: Already up 11% before the open, the bounce could fade if the Navy does not confirm the company's account.

   From $10.96 at 9:30 AM:high +2.10% at 9:35 AMclose 0.00%day +13.22%✗ Missed +3%

1. Stocks making the biggest moves premarket: Tesla, Meta, Aevex, Spotify & more — CNBC
2. Lockheed Martin (LMT) Stock Climbs After Earnings Beat and Record Backlog — MoneyCheck
3. Lockheed Martin third quarter 2026 results (Form 8-K, exhibit 99.1) — Lockheed Martin
4. Earnings call transcript: Allegion tops Q3 2026 estimates as shares jump premarket — Investing.com
5. Spotify Technology Q3 2026 results (Form 6-K, exhibit 99.1) — Spotify
6. Stock Market Today: October 22, 2026 — TheStreet
7. Aevex to acquire BlackSea Technologies for up to $650M — Breaking Defense
8. Today's Premarket Stock Movers — StockAnalysis

• Every trading day at 9:00 AM ET, before the 9:30 AM open, we read last night’s and the morning’s company news — earnings and guidance, analyst upgrades, deals and contracts, product and regulatory news, index changes — and pick the 6–10 liquid US stocks most likely to rise that day.
• Each pick gets a target (the expected rise from the open to the day’s high) and a confidence (the chance of getting there), and we weigh the size of the surprise, the pre-market move and the market’s mood. Stocks under $5, thinly traded ones, and targets of cash takeovers are left out.
• Each list is measured from the moment it could be acted on: the 9:30 AM opening price, or the minute it went public if that was later. “To the high” is the rise from there to the session’s highest price; “to the close”, to the closing price. A pick reaches its target when its rise to the high is at least the target.
• The S&P 500 ETF (SPY) over the same minutes is shown as the bar to beat. Results are live while the market trades and final after the close; every past list stays online with its results.