Stocks to watch · picked from the news before the open
Stocks That Could Go Up on Thursday, October 15, 2026
Marsh, Brown & Brown, Walmart and 4 more stocks with news that could lift them today
Published 9:55 AM ET · measured from 9:56 AM ET, when it went live · Results final · Stable Income Strategy
Which stocks went up on October 15, 2026?
Marsh (MRSH), Brown & Brown (BRO) and Walmart (WMT) look best placed to keep rising today. Marsh beat third-quarter forecasts with 5% underlying growth, lifting insurance brokers, and Deutsche Bank upgraded Walmart to Buy. The market is weak: a hot September PPI and a chip sell-off have the Nasdaq 100 down about 1.7%, while staples and homebuilders gain.
2 of 7 picks rose at least to their target from 9:56 AM ET; the best, Crocs (CROX), gained as much as 3.37% (high at 2:07 PM ET). The S&P 500 ETF rose as much as 1.06% over the same time.
- Stocks picked from the news
- 7
- Reached their target
- 2 of 7
- Best rise to the high: CROX
- +3.37%
- S&P 500 ETF over the same time (to its high)
- +1.06%
01
The list at a glance
Final results (after the close).
| # | Stock | Catalyst | Target | To the high | To the close | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MRSH Marsh | Earnings | +1.2%54% confidence | +1.56%at 10:36 AM | −0.83% | Reached |
| 2 | BRO Brown & Brown | Sector | +1.5%52% confidence | +0.89%at 10:36 AM | −0.73% | Missed |
| 3 | WMT Walmart | Upgrade | +1%52% confidence | +0.34%at 9:57 AM | −2.41% | Missed |
| 4 | AJG Arthur J. Gallagher | Sector | +1.2%51% confidence | +1.11%at 12:55 PM | +0.04% | Missed |
| 5 | LEN Lennar | Macro | +1.8%48% confidence | +1.24%at 2:18 PM | +0.57% | Missed |
| 6 | DG Dollar General | Sector | +1.3%49% confidence | +0.73%at 10:30 AM | −0.56% | Missed |
| 7 | CROX Crocs | Upgrade | +1.5%45% confidence | +3.37%at 2:07 PM | +2.18% | Reached |
Target: the expected rise from the open to the day’s high; confidence: the chance we gave it of getting there. “To the high” and “to the close” are counted from the price at 9:56 AM ET, when the list went live.
02
Why each stock could go up
Producer prices rose 1.3% in September, the most since March 2022, and chip stocks fell for a second day after a roughly 7% drop in South Korea's KOSPI, leaving the Nasdaq 100 down about 1.7% and the S&P 500 down about 0.6% at 9:54 AM ET while the Dow held up better. The 10-year Treasury yield fell to about 5.05% from 5.19%, and money is rotating into consumer staples, insurance brokers and homebuilders, which is where these picks sit.
- 1
Marsh (MRSH)
Financials (insurance brokerage) · +5.5% since yesterday's close at 9:54 AM ET; 2.9% above the $182.80 open, near the day's high
+1.2% target
54% confidence
EarningsMarsh beat third-quarter forecasts: adjusted EPS $2.03 (+10%), revenue $6.9 billion (+8%), 5% underlying growth — Marsh (SEC filing)
Adjusted EPS of $2.03 topped the $1.96 consensus, revenue of $6.9 billion beat the $6.63 billion forecast, and underlying growth of 5% beat the 3.9% analysts expected, with management consulting up 14%. Insurance broker stocks have fallen well below their highs this year, so a clean growth beat is drawing buyers back; Marsh was still climbing 20 minutes after the open, about 5% below its 52-week high of $198.49, and we expect follow-through buying.
Risk: The reinsurance unit shrank 6% and the adjusted operating margin was flat at 22.7%, which could cap the rally after a 5% jump.
From $188.11 at 9:56 AM:high +1.56% at 10:36 AMclose −0.83%day +4.56% Reached +1.2% - 2
Brown & Brown (BRO)
Financials (insurance brokerage) · +5.7% since yesterday's close; 3.5% above the $66.22 open and at the day's high
+1.5% target
52% confidence
SectorMarsh's 5% underlying growth beat lifts insurance broker stocks — Marsh (SEC filing)
Brown & Brown has no news of its own, but Marsh's 5% underlying growth (3.9% expected) and 5% growth in its Risk brokerage unit ease worries about slowing growth across the group. At about $68.50 the stock sits roughly 26% below its 52-week high of $92.91, and it was one of the group's strongest risers after the open, so we expect the catch-up buying to continue.
Risk: A sympathy move without company news can fade quickly if Marsh's gain stalls.
From $68.48 at 9:56 AM:high +0.89% at 10:36 AMclose −0.73%day +4.91% Missed +1.5% - 3
Walmart (WMT)
Consumer staples · +4.1% since yesterday's close; holding above the $120.07 open, below the $121.38 early high
+1% target
52% confidence
UpgradeDeutsche Bank upgrades Walmart to Buy from Hold and lifts its price target to $136 from $113 — Tradingpedia
Deutsche Bank analyst Krisztina Katai expects persistent inflation to push more shoppers to Walmart and higher-margin advertising, marketplace and membership income to lift profits; the bank's new $136 target is about 13% above the current price. The hot September PPI supports that case, and the consumer staples sector was up about 2.5% at 9:54 AM ET, so we expect steady buying through the day.
Risk: Much of the upgrade was priced in before the open, and staples could give back gains if tech stocks rebound.
From $120.78 at 9:56 AM:high +0.34% at 9:57 AMclose −2.41%day +1.47% Missed +1% - 4
Arthur J. Gallagher (AJG)
Financials (insurance brokerage) · +5.3% since yesterday's close; 2.5% above the $243.59 open, near the day's high
+1.2% target
51% confidence
SectorMarsh's third-quarter beat lifts insurance broker stocks — Marsh (SEC filing)
Gallagher trades with Marsh on read-throughs about insurance pricing and commissions, and Marsh's Risk unit, the closest match to Gallagher's brokerage business, grew 5% underlying in the third quarter. The stock was making new highs for the day near $250, still about 13% below its 52-week high of $288.33, which leaves room for the rally to extend.
Risk: Gallagher has not reported yet, so the move depends on Marsh holding its gain.
From $249.99 at 9:56 AM:high +1.11% at 12:55 PMclose +0.04%day +5.51% Missed +1.2% - 5
Lennar (LEN)
Consumer discretionary (homebuilding) · +5.2% since yesterday's close; 2.0% above the $75.82 open and at the day's high
+1.8% target
48% confidence
Macro10-year Treasury yield drops about 13 basis points to near 5.05% after the PPI report — Yahoo Finance
Mortgage rates follow the 10-year Treasury yield, which fell to about 5.05% from 5.19% as long-dated bonds rallied, and homebuilders were among the strongest groups after the open. Lennar trades near $77, close to its 52-week low of $71.78 and far below its high of $133.76, so a rate-driven bounce has room to extend.
Risk: The hot PPI could push yields back up later in the day, and homebuilders reverse quickly when they do.
From $77.25 at 9:56 AM:high +1.24% at 2:18 PMclose +0.57%day +5.66% Missed +1.8% - 6
Dollar General (DG)
Consumer staples (discount retail) · +3.5% since yesterday's close; 1.1% above the $133.00 open
+1.3% target
49% confidence
SectorHot inflation data pushes investors toward consumer staples and value retailers — Tradingpedia
Discount chains gain shoppers who trade down when prices rise, and producer prices jumped 1.3% in September, the most since March 2022. Dollar General was climbing after the open with Walmart and the staples sector (up about 2.5%), and at about $134 it sits 15% below its 52-week high of $158.23.
Risk: Higher producer costs can squeeze a discounter's margins, which may limit how far buyers chase the stock.
From $134.65 at 9:56 AM:high +0.73% at 10:30 AMclose −0.56%day +3.04% Missed +1.3% - 7
Crocs (CROX)
Consumer discretionary (footwear) · +3.6% since yesterday's close; trading just below the $121.96 open and the $123.07 early high
+1.5% target
45% confidence
UpgradeBarclays upgrades Crocs to Overweight from Equal Weight, citing product innovation and international growth — CNBC
Barclays raised its price target to $139 from $118, about 14% above the current price, citing product innovation, category expansion and international growth. Crocs has held most of its gain while the Nasdaq 100 fell about 1.7%, which points to steady demand for the shares.
Risk: Consumer discretionary stocks are under pressure from rate worries, and the stock has not yet broken above its early high of $123.07.
From $122.11 at 9:56 AM:high +3.37% at 2:07 PMclose +2.18%day +6.15% Reached +1.5%
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Questions
What stocks will go up today?
For Thursday, October 15, 2026, we expect Marsh (MRSH), Brown & Brown (BRO), Walmart (WMT), Arthur J. Gallagher (AJG), Lennar (LEN), Dollar General (DG) and Crocs (CROX) to have the best chance of rising further after 10 AM ET. Marsh beat third-quarter forecasts and lifted insurance brokers, Walmart and Crocs won analyst upgrades, and falling Treasury yields and hot inflation data favor homebuilders and discount retailers. The main risk is a weak market led by a chip sell-off.
Which stocks are moving on earnings today?
Marsh (MRSH) rose about 5.5% by 9:54 AM ET on October 15, 2026 after third-quarter adjusted EPS of $2.03 beat the $1.96 consensus and underlying revenue grew 5%. Bank results drew a cooler response: Charles Schwab fell before the open even though earnings beat forecasts, and PNC dropped about 2% on a net interest income miss. Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) fell about 4% despite a record quarterly profit, as the chip sell-off outweighed its results.
What stocks got upgraded today?
On October 15, 2026, Deutsche Bank upgraded Walmart (WMT) to Buy from Hold with a $136 target, up from $113. Barclays upgraded Crocs (CROX) to Overweight and raised its target to $139 from $118. Baird upgraded Bank of America (BAC) to Outperform with a $62 target, and RBC upgraded Casey's General Stores (CASY) to Outperform. Goldman Sachs started AngloGold Ashanti (AU) at Buy, and Scotiabank started Devon Energy (DVN) and Diamondback Energy (FANG) at Outperform.
Why is Marsh stock up today?
Marsh (MRSH) rose about 5.5% in early trading on October 15, 2026 after its third-quarter results beat forecasts. Adjusted EPS rose 10% to $2.03 against a $1.96 consensus, revenue grew 8% to $6.9 billion, and underlying revenue grew 5% versus about 3.9% expected, helped by 14% growth in management consulting. The beat also lifted other insurance brokers, including Brown & Brown, Arthur J. Gallagher and Willis Towers Watson, which were up about 4% to 6%.
Why is Walmart stock up today?
Walmart (WMT) rose about 4% in early trading on October 15, 2026 after Deutsche Bank upgraded it to Buy from Hold and raised its price target to $136 from $113. The analyst argued that persistent inflation should push more shoppers to Walmart and that advertising, marketplace and membership income should lift margins. A hotter-than-expected September producer price report also pushed investors toward consumer staples stocks.
Why is the stock market down today?
The Nasdaq 100 fell about 1.7% and the S&P 500 about 0.6% in early trading on October 15, 2026. Producer prices rose 1.3% in September, the largest monthly jump since March 2022, adding to interest-rate worries, and chip stocks such as Nvidia, AMD and Micron fell for a second day after a roughly 7% drop in South Korea's KOSPI. The Dow held up better as investors moved into consumer staples and insurers.
04
Sources
- Marsh Reports Third Quarter 2026 Results — Marsh (SEC filing)
- Can Marsh Beat Q3 Earnings on Risk and Insurance Services Strength? — Zacks via Yahoo Finance
- Walmart Soars Premarket as Deutsche Bank Upgrades to Buy — Tradingpedia
- Stocks making the biggest moves premarket: CoreWeave, Rocket Lab Corp, SK Hynix & more — CNBC
- Here Are Thursday's Top Wall Street Analyst Research Calls: AngloGold Ashanti, Bank of America, Cirrus Logic, Crocs, Diamondback Energy, Devon Energy, Netflix, PayPal, Spotify Technology, and More — 24/7 Wall St.
- US premarket movers: MAGS, SMH, DRAM, WMT, SCHW, PNC, RKLB, MAN, FMC, CMC, PAG — Newsquawk
- Stock market today: live updates, October 15, 2026 — Yahoo Finance
05
How the stocks are picked and scored
- Every trading day at 9:00 AM ET, before the 9:30 AM open, we read last night’s and the morning’s company news — earnings and guidance, analyst upgrades, deals and contracts, product and regulatory news, index changes — and pick the 6–10 liquid US stocks most likely to rise that day.
- Each pick gets a target (the expected rise from the open to the day’s high) and a confidence (the chance of getting there), and we weigh the size of the surprise, the pre-market move and the market’s mood. Stocks under $5, thinly traded ones, and targets of cash takeovers are left out.
- Each list is measured from the moment it could be acted on: the 9:30 AM opening price, or the minute it went public if that was later. “To the high” is the rise from there to the session’s highest price; “to the close”, to the closing price. A pick reaches its target when its rise to the high is at least the target.
- The S&P 500 ETF (SPY) over the same minutes is shown as the bar to beat. Results are live while the market trades and final after the close; every past list stays online with its results.
Not investment advice
These are forecasts made from public news and prices, published for education and to keep an honest record of how such calls turn out. They are not recommendations to buy or sell anything, and a call that worked before can fail the next day. Decide with your own judgment, or with a licensed adviser.